Therese Terlaje holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Democratic nomination in Guam’s August 1 primary, reflecting her established role as a sitting senator and the recent filing of her ticket with running mate Sabina Perez. The three-way contest also features current Lieutenant Governor Josh Tenorio paired with Tina Muña-Barnes and Senator Joe S. San Agustin with Dwayne San Nicolas, both of whom submitted candidacies shortly before the May 1 deadline. These filings have clarified the field without introducing major new polling or endorsements that would shift the implied probabilities, leaving Terlaje’s name recognition and legislative record as the dominant factors supporting her 75 percent position while Tenorio and San Agustin trail at 18.5 percent and 8.2 percent respectively. The August primary remains the key upcoming milestone that could alter these assessments.