Christine Drazan commands an 85% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Oregon governor due to her consistent double-digit leads in late April polls, including 35-37% support in Nelson Research and Hoffman Research surveys of likely GOP primary voters, far ahead of Ed Diehl (18%) and Chris Dudley (14-18%), amid high undecided shares of 25-30%. With the May 19 primary four days away and ballots already mailed for early voting, traders anticipate undecideds breaking toward Drazan, bolstered by her superior name recognition from the 2022 general election near-miss, heaviest ad and mailer spending in the final stretch, and third debate performance. Diehl's 13% reflects his steady second-place polling and grassroots anti-tax efforts, while others trail amid a crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoChristine Drazan 85%
Ed Diehl 13.1%
Chris Dudley 2.7%
Danielle Bethell <1%
$113,146 Vol.
$113,146 Vol.
Christine Drazan
85%
Ed Diehl
13%
Chris Dudley
3%
Danielle Bethell
1%
Kyle Duyck
<1%
Robert Neuman
<1%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
Brad T. Peters
<1%
David Medina
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
<1%
Christine Drazan 85%
Ed Diehl 13.1%
Chris Dudley 2.7%
Danielle Bethell <1%
$113,146 Vol.
$113,146 Vol.
Christine Drazan
85%
Ed Diehl
13%
Chris Dudley
3%
Danielle Bethell
1%
Kyle Duyck
<1%
Robert Neuman
<1%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
Brad T. Peters
<1%
David Medina
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christine Drazan commands an 85% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Oregon governor due to her consistent double-digit leads in late April polls, including 35-37% support in Nelson Research and Hoffman Research surveys of likely GOP primary voters, far ahead of Ed Diehl (18%) and Chris Dudley (14-18%), amid high undecided shares of 25-30%. With the May 19 primary four days away and ballots already mailed for early voting, traders anticipate undecideds breaking toward Drazan, bolstered by her superior name recognition from the 2022 general election near-miss, heaviest ad and mailer spending in the final stretch, and third debate performance. Diehl's 13% reflects his steady second-place polling and grassroots anti-tax efforts, while others trail amid a crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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