**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies point to a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds.** This aligns with the historical average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (57%) and 20°C (36.5%). Morning temperatures started in the low-to-mid teens Celsius before gradual warming, with cloud cover and moderate humidity limiting stronger solar heating. Recent model runs show little deviation, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while downweighting extremes like 18°C or 21°C+. Official observations through the afternoon will determine the exact peak for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 10 de septiembre?
19°C 63%
20°C 30%
18°C 7%
21°C 4%
$19,638 Vol.
$19,638 Vol.
10 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
63%
20°C
30%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
19°C 63%
20°C 30%
18°C 7%
21°C 4%
$19,638 Vol.
$19,638 Vol.
10 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$398 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$366 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,198 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,529 Vol.
7%
19°C
$5,740 Vol.
63%
20°C
$4,964 Vol.
30%
21°C
$2,619 Vol.
4%
22°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies point to a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds.** This aligns with the historical average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (57%) and 20°C (36.5%). Morning temperatures started in the low-to-mid teens Celsius before gradual warming, with cloud cover and moderate humidity limiting stronger solar heating. Recent model runs show little deviation, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while downweighting extremes like 18°C or 21°C+. Official observations through the afternoon will determine the exact peak for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$19,638Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies point to a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds.** This aligns with the historical average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (57%) and 20°C (36.5%). Morning temperatures started in the low-to-mid teens Celsius before gradual warming, with cloud cover and moderate humidity limiting stronger solar heating. Recent model runs show little deviation, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while downweighting extremes like 18°C or 21°C+. Official observations through the afternoon will determine the exact peak for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,638Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies point to a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds.** This aligns with the historical average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (57%) and 20°C (36.5%). Morning temperatures started in the low-to-mid teens Celsius before gradual warming, with cloud cover and moderate humidity limiting stronger solar heating. Recent model runs show little deviation, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes while downweighting extremes like 18°C or 21°C+. Official observations through the afternoon will determine the exact peak for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes