Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and regional guidance show Amsterdam's overnight low on September 10 stabilizing near 11–13 °C under light southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling after frontal passage on the 9th. Historical September averages place the daily minimum around 11.3 °C, with rare extremes below 7 °C or above 16 °C. Market-implied odds, however, assign the highest probability (44.5 %) to 6 °C or below and notable weight (35.5 %) to 16 °C or higher, reflecting trader emphasis on tail risks from potential model spread, localized clear-sky cooling, or warmer advection shifts. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official KNMI updates will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 10 de septiembre?
6°C o menos 68%
16°C o más 68%
11°C 28%
10°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
6°C o menos
68%
7°C
14%
8°C
9%
9°C
22%
10°C
23%
11°C
28%
12°C
20%
13°C
22%
14°C
16%
15°C
15%
16°C o más
68%
6°C o menos 68%
16°C o más 68%
11°C 28%
10°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
6°C o menos
$25 Vol.
68%
7°C
$10 Vol.
14%
8°C
$0 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$15 Vol.
16%
15°C
$10 Vol.
15%
16°C o más
$51 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and regional guidance show Amsterdam's overnight low on September 10 stabilizing near 11–13 °C under light southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling after frontal passage on the 9th. Historical September averages place the daily minimum around 11.3 °C, with rare extremes below 7 °C or above 16 °C. Market-implied odds, however, assign the highest probability (44.5 %) to 6 °C or below and notable weight (35.5 %) to 16 °C or higher, reflecting trader emphasis on tail risks from potential model spread, localized clear-sky cooling, or warmer advection shifts. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official KNMI updates will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$111Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and regional guidance show Amsterdam's overnight low on September 10 stabilizing near 11–13 °C under light southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling after frontal passage on the 9th. Historical September averages place the daily minimum around 11.3 °C, with rare extremes below 7 °C or above 16 °C. Market-implied odds, however, assign the highest probability (44.5 %) to 6 °C or below and notable weight (35.5 %) to 16 °C or higher, reflecting trader emphasis on tail risks from potential model spread, localized clear-sky cooling, or warmer advection shifts. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official KNMI updates will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$111Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as the ECMWF and regional guidance show Amsterdam's overnight low on September 10 stabilizing near 11–13 °C under light southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling after frontal passage on the 9th. Historical September averages place the daily minimum around 11.3 °C, with rare extremes below 7 °C or above 16 °C. Market-implied odds, however, assign the highest probability (44.5 %) to 6 °C or below and notable weight (35.5 %) to 16 °C or higher, reflecting trader emphasis on tail risks from potential model spread, localized clear-sky cooling, or warmer advection shifts. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official KNMI updates will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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