Recent forecasts from global models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 13°C amid light southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical September averages of 11–12°C and create tight clustering around 12–14°C outcomes in the market, while the matched probabilities for extremes reflect uncertainty in whether clearer breaks or stronger advection could push readings notably lower or higher. Updated European and GFS runs through the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 11 de septiembre?
8°C o menos 95%
18°C o más 94%
15°C 27%
11°C 23%
8°C o menos
95%
9°C
19%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C o más
94%
8°C o menos 95%
18°C o más 94%
15°C 27%
11°C 23%
8°C o menos
95%
9°C
19%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C o más
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate Amsterdam's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 13°C amid light southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical September averages of 11–12°C and create tight clustering around 12–14°C outcomes in the market, while the matched probabilities for extremes reflect uncertainty in whether clearer breaks or stronger advection could push readings notably lower or higher. Updated European and GFS runs through the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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