Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to sunny skies and a high near 100°F in Austin on August 11, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (56.5% implied probability) and 100-101°F (33.5%), reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average high of 98°F while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of a few degrees. Recent days of triple-digit heat and minimal cloud cover have reinforced trader expectations for continued warmth without significant cooling from precipitation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 11 de agosto?
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 6%
102-103°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 6%
102-103°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
89°F o menos
$202 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$282 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$246 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$197 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$266 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$3,837 Vol.
59%
100-101°F
$327 Vol.
32%
102-103°F
$238 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$172 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$169 Vol.
<1%
108°F o más
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to sunny skies and a high near 100°F in Austin on August 11, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (56.5% implied probability) and 100-101°F (33.5%), reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average high of 98°F while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of a few degrees. Recent days of triple-digit heat and minimal cloud cover have reinforced trader expectations for continued warmth without significant cooling from precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$6,230Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to sunny skies and a high near 100°F in Austin on August 11, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (56.5% implied probability) and 100-101°F (33.5%), reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average high of 98°F while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of a few degrees. Recent days of triple-digit heat and minimal cloud cover have reinforced trader expectations for continued warmth without significant cooling from precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,230Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to sunny skies and a high near 100°F in Austin on August 11, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (56.5% implied probability) and 100-101°F (33.5%), reflecting model consensus around the seasonal average high of 98°F while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of a few degrees. Recent days of triple-digit heat and minimal cloud cover have reinforced trader expectations for continued warmth without significant cooling from precipitation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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