**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 24, 2026, center on a high near 105°F under persistent high pressure and clear skies, aligning with the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 51.5% implied probability.** A strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming, combined with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, is sustaining the heat wave well above the normal August maximum of ~96°F. Recent model runs and point forecasts cluster tightly around 104–105°F, with some guidance reaching 106°F and others 103°F, explaining the secondary weight on 102–103°F (32.5%) and 106–107°F (14.5%). Low precipitation chances through midweek limit any cooling, while official resolution depends on the highest verified reading at primary Austin stations. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast consensus while leaving modest room for small model or observational shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 24 de agosto?
104-105°F 51%
102-103°F 33%
106-107°F 15%
100-101°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
95°F o menos
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
51%
106-107°F
15%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o más
<1%
104-105°F 51%
102-103°F 33%
106-107°F 15%
100-101°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
95°F o menos
$65 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$163 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$211 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$567 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$1,761 Vol.
33%
104-105°F
$1,939 Vol.
51%
106-107°F
$784 Vol.
15%
108-109°F
$265 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$361 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$181 Vol.
<1%
114°F o más
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 24, 2026, center on a high near 105°F under persistent high pressure and clear skies, aligning with the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 51.5% implied probability.** A strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming, combined with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, is sustaining the heat wave well above the normal August maximum of ~96°F. Recent model runs and point forecasts cluster tightly around 104–105°F, with some guidance reaching 106°F and others 103°F, explaining the secondary weight on 102–103°F (32.5%) and 106–107°F (14.5%). Low precipitation chances through midweek limit any cooling, while official resolution depends on the highest verified reading at primary Austin stations. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast consensus while leaving modest room for small model or observational shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$6,487Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 24, 2026, center on a high near 105°F under persistent high pressure and clear skies, aligning with the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 51.5% implied probability.** A strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming, combined with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, is sustaining the heat wave well above the normal August maximum of ~96°F. Recent model runs and point forecasts cluster tightly around 104–105°F, with some guidance reaching 106°F and others 103°F, explaining the secondary weight on 102–103°F (32.5%) and 106–107°F (14.5%). Low precipitation chances through midweek limit any cooling, while official resolution depends on the highest verified reading at primary Austin stations. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast consensus while leaving modest room for small model or observational shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,487Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 24, 2026, center on a high near 105°F under persistent high pressure and clear skies, aligning with the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 51.5% implied probability.** A strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming, combined with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, is sustaining the heat wave well above the normal August maximum of ~96°F. Recent model runs and point forecasts cluster tightly around 104–105°F, with some guidance reaching 106°F and others 103°F, explaining the secondary weight on 102–103°F (32.5%) and 106–107°F (14.5%). Low precipitation chances through midweek limit any cooling, while official resolution depends on the highest verified reading at primary Austin stations. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast consensus while leaving modest room for small model or observational shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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