Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most likely high for Houston on August 24, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a sunny day with a maximum near 100°F and heat indices to 106–107°F. Recent observations, including a 101°F reading on August 22, show the region running several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 93°F, sustained by southwesterly flow and limited moisture for daytime cloud development. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest overnight adjustments are possible before final NWS verification, keeping 100–101°F as a plausible secondary outcome while capping higher bins at low single-digit implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 24 de agosto?
98-99°F 61%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
91°F o menos
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
61%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 61%
100-101°F 26%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
91°F o menos
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$274 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$920 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$717 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$1,447 Vol.
61%
100-101°F
$513 Vol.
26%
102-103°F
$423 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$233 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$149 Vol.
<1%
110°F o más
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most likely high for Houston on August 24, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a sunny day with a maximum near 100°F and heat indices to 106–107°F. Recent observations, including a 101°F reading on August 22, show the region running several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 93°F, sustained by southwesterly flow and limited moisture for daytime cloud development. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest overnight adjustments are possible before final NWS verification, keeping 100–101°F as a plausible secondary outcome while capping higher bins at low single-digit implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$3,977Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most likely high for Houston on August 24, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a sunny day with a maximum near 100°F and heat indices to 106–107°F. Recent observations, including a 101°F reading on August 22, show the region running several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 93°F, sustained by southwesterly flow and limited moisture for daytime cloud development. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest overnight adjustments are possible before final NWS verification, keeping 100–101°F as a plausible secondary outcome while capping higher bins at low single-digit implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,977Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most likely high for Houston on August 24, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a sunny day with a maximum near 100°F and heat indices to 106–107°F. Recent observations, including a 101°F reading on August 22, show the region running several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 93°F, sustained by southwesterly flow and limited moisture for daytime cloud development. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest overnight adjustments are possible before final NWS verification, keeping 100–101°F as a plausible secondary outcome while capping higher bins at low single-digit implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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