Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models show a narrow cluster of maximum temperatures around 22–23°C for London on June 13, driven by building high pressure yielding mostly settled conditions with light winds and variable cloud. This positioning of the jet stream and surface anticyclone limits strong advection of warmer continental air while allowing modest diurnal heating under partial sunshine. Small spreads in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing create the tight distribution across 21–24°C outcomes, with traders weighting model consensus and verification against recent near-normal June baselines after May’s heatwave. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 13 de junio?
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 12%
19°C o menos
6%
20°C
8%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 12%
19°C o menos
6%
20°C
8%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models show a narrow cluster of maximum temperatures around 22–23°C for London on June 13, driven by building high pressure yielding mostly settled conditions with light winds and variable cloud. This positioning of the jet stream and surface anticyclone limits strong advection of warmer continental air while allowing modest diurnal heating under partial sunshine. Small spreads in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing create the tight distribution across 21–24°C outcomes, with traders weighting model consensus and verification against recent near-normal June baselines after May’s heatwave. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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