Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 13 de agosto?
14°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$50,337 Vol.
$50,337 Vol.
12°C o menos
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o más
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$50,337 Vol.
$50,337 Vol.
12°C o menos
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sí
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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