Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 14 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 14 de mayo?
12°C 49%
13°C 23%
11°C 21.3%
14°C 5%
NUEVO
$33,908 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,908 Vol.
14 may 2026
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
21%
12°C
49%
13°C
23%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
12°C 49%
13°C 23%
11°C 21.3%
14°C 5%
NUEVO
$33,908 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,908 Vol.
14 may 2026
7°C o menos
$6,256 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,398 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,530 Vol.
2%
11°C
$3,618 Vol.
21%
12°C
$3,590 Vol.
49%
13°C
$4,600 Vol.
23%
14°C
$3,944 Vol.
5%
15°C
$2,386 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
17°C o más
$1,355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$33,908Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,908Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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