Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 14 de agosto?
33°C 100.0%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C o menos
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sí
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o más
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$1,420 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,420 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,168 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,998 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,315 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,480 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,614 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,714 Vol.
Sí
34°C
$5,415 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,632 Vol.
No
36°C o más
$834 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$32,011Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,011Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current observational data from coastal monitoring stations and short-range forecast models support the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C in Qingdao on August 14. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow has driven afternoon temperatures toward this threshold, consistent with typical late-summer maxima along the Yellow Sea coast where marine influence usually caps extremes. The China Meteorological Administration's real-time network and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread. Only an unanticipated shift in steering winds or rapid marine-layer intrusion could alter the peak reading before official daily closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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