Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 24°C high for Toronto on August 27 under cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers with west winds, yet ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF support peaks near 25–26°C if afternoon clearing occurs amid moderate humidity and southerly flow. This spread explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C and 27°C, as traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official station maxima against short-term forecast uncertainty before the next model update. Historical August climatology for the date centers near 23–24°C, underscoring how current steering patterns and moisture could push readings modestly above baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 27 de agosto?
26°C 48%
25°C 24%
27°C 23%
24°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
48%
27°C
23%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 48%
25°C 24%
27°C 23%
24°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
$76 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$30 Vol.
1%
24°C
$208 Vol.
4%
25°C
$127 Vol.
24%
26°C
$870 Vol.
48%
27°C
$261 Vol.
23%
28°C
$172 Vol.
3%
29°C
$48 Vol.
2%
30°C
$8 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 24°C high for Toronto on August 27 under cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers with west winds, yet ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF support peaks near 25–26°C if afternoon clearing occurs amid moderate humidity and southerly flow. This spread explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C and 27°C, as traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official station maxima against short-term forecast uncertainty before the next model update. Historical August climatology for the date centers near 23–24°C, underscoring how current steering patterns and moisture could push readings modestly above baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,897Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 24°C high for Toronto on August 27 under cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers with west winds, yet ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF support peaks near 25–26°C if afternoon clearing occurs amid moderate humidity and southerly flow. This spread explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C and 27°C, as traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official station maxima against short-term forecast uncertainty before the next model update. Historical August climatology for the date centers near 23–24°C, underscoring how current steering patterns and moisture could push readings modestly above baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,897Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 24°C high for Toronto on August 27 under cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers with west winds, yet ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF support peaks near 25–26°C if afternoon clearing occurs amid moderate humidity and southerly flow. This spread explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C and 27°C, as traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official station maxima against short-term forecast uncertainty before the next model update. Historical August climatology for the date centers near 23–24°C, underscoring how current steering patterns and moisture could push readings modestly above baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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