Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a 27–31°C range for August 26 under mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and thunderstorms, driven by persistent southwesterly flow in the subtropical monsoon regime. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling through high humidity and cloud cover, positioning overnight lows near the seasonal August average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and the lack of incoming cold fronts or tropical cyclone influences support trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, consistent with verified minima from similar August days this year. Updated HKO guidance and local station observations ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?
27°C 43%
28°C 28%
26°C 14%
25°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
43%
28°C
28%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 28%
26°C 14%
25°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
1%
24°C
$156 Vol.
3%
25°C
$176 Vol.
9%
26°C
$345 Vol.
14%
27°C
$174 Vol.
43%
28°C
$179 Vol.
28%
29°C
$106 Vol.
6%
30°C
$167 Vol.
1%
31°C
$271 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a 27–31°C range for August 26 under mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and thunderstorms, driven by persistent southwesterly flow in the subtropical monsoon regime. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling through high humidity and cloud cover, positioning overnight lows near the seasonal August average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and the lack of incoming cold fronts or tropical cyclone influences support trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, consistent with verified minima from similar August days this year. Updated HKO guidance and local station observations ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,666Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a 27–31°C range for August 26 under mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and thunderstorms, driven by persistent southwesterly flow in the subtropical monsoon regime. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling through high humidity and cloud cover, positioning overnight lows near the seasonal August average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and the lack of incoming cold fronts or tropical cyclone influences support trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, consistent with verified minima from similar August days this year. Updated HKO guidance and local station observations ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,666Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a 27–31°C range for August 26 under mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and thunderstorms, driven by persistent southwesterly flow in the subtropical monsoon regime. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling through high humidity and cloud cover, positioning overnight lows near the seasonal August average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and the lack of incoming cold fronts or tropical cyclone influences support trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, consistent with verified minima from similar August days this year. Updated HKO guidance and local station observations ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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