Current ensemble forecasts from European models show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 2 centered near 14–16 °C under moderate southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies. These conditions limit radiative cooling while marine air keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, producing a narrow range of possible minima. Slight variations in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing differentiate the 14 °C versus 16–17 °C outcomes; clearer intervals or lighter winds favor the lower end, while persistent cloud or stronger flow supports the higher side. Trader consensus around these bins mirrors the remaining model spread and expected updates from official guidance before the period ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 2 de septiembre?
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C 98%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
10%
11°C
16%
12°C
32%
13°C
38%
14°C
97%
15°C
98%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
17%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C 98%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
10%
11°C
16%
12°C
32%
13°C
38%
14°C
97%
15°C
98%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European models show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 2 centered near 14–16 °C under moderate southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies. These conditions limit radiative cooling while marine air keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, producing a narrow range of possible minima. Slight variations in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing differentiate the 14 °C versus 16–17 °C outcomes; clearer intervals or lighter winds favor the lower end, while persistent cloud or stronger flow supports the higher side. Trader consensus around these bins mirrors the remaining model spread and expected updates from official guidance before the period ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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