Current forecasts from meteorological sources, including model runs for Ankara, indicate the overnight minimum will reach 10°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the strong market consensus at that threshold. This reflects typical early-September radiative cooling in the region, where dew points near 0–7°C and calm conditions allow temperatures to drop close to the seasonal baseline of 11–14°C lows. Official observations and hourly guidance show the lowest readings occurring around dawn, with little model spread supporting deviation. A warmer-than-expected boundary layer or delayed clearing could push the minimum above 10°C, while stronger radiational cooling or measurement at a colder station site might test the lower tail of outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 9 de septiembre?
10°C 94%
9°C 16%
8°C 10.0%
7°C o menos 9%
7°C o menos
9%
8°C
10%
9°C
16%
10°C
94%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superior
<1%
10°C 94%
9°C 16%
8°C 10.0%
7°C o menos 9%
7°C o menos
9%
8°C
10%
9°C
16%
10°C
94%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superior
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological sources, including model runs for Ankara, indicate the overnight minimum will reach 10°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the strong market consensus at that threshold. This reflects typical early-September radiative cooling in the region, where dew points near 0–7°C and calm conditions allow temperatures to drop close to the seasonal baseline of 11–14°C lows. Official observations and hourly guidance show the lowest readings occurring around dawn, with little model spread supporting deviation. A warmer-than-expected boundary layer or delayed clearing could push the minimum above 10°C, while stronger radiational cooling or measurement at a colder station site might test the lower tail of outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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