Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project Beijing's minimum temperature on September 10 near 12–16°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, favoring radiative cooling after a mild night. This aligns with seasonal norms but sits below the historical average low of 17.3°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between 18°C-or-higher (40.5%) and 8°C-or-below (39.5%) outcomes because model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, while urban heat-island effects and exact station siting add resolution uncertainty. New high-resolution runs and official 24-hour observations tomorrow will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 10 de septiembre?
8°C o menos 71%
18°C o más 71%
17°C 39%
14°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
8°C o menos
71%
9°C
11%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
25%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
39%
18°C o más
71%
8°C o menos 71%
18°C o más 71%
17°C 39%
14°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$61 Vol.
71%
9°C
$10 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C o más
$44 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project Beijing's minimum temperature on September 10 near 12–16°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, favoring radiative cooling after a mild night. This aligns with seasonal norms but sits below the historical average low of 17.3°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between 18°C-or-higher (40.5%) and 8°C-or-below (39.5%) outcomes because model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, while urban heat-island effects and exact station siting add resolution uncertainty. New high-resolution runs and official 24-hour observations tomorrow will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$115Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project Beijing's minimum temperature on September 10 near 12–16°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, favoring radiative cooling after a mild night. This aligns with seasonal norms but sits below the historical average low of 17.3°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between 18°C-or-higher (40.5%) and 8°C-or-below (39.5%) outcomes because model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, while urban heat-island effects and exact station siting add resolution uncertainty. New high-resolution runs and official 24-hour observations tomorrow will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$115Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project Beijing's minimum temperature on September 10 near 12–16°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, favoring radiative cooling after a mild night. This aligns with seasonal norms but sits below the historical average low of 17.3°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between 18°C-or-higher (40.5%) and 8°C-or-below (39.5%) outcomes because model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, while urban heat-island effects and exact station siting add resolution uncertainty. New high-resolution runs and official 24-hour observations tomorrow will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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