Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on August 27 likely between 11–14°C, driven by mild northwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and local models show overnight lows near 12–13°C, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Historical August climatology features typical minima near 10–11°C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-average pattern with lighter winds and higher dew points reducing the chance of sharper drops. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify any shifts from Atlantic moisture or wind changes that could tip the exact low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 27 de agosto?
10°C 49%
16°C 41%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
8°C o menos
14%
9°C
19%
10°C
49%
11°C
25%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
16%
16°C
41%
17°C
20%
18°C o más
27%
10°C 49%
16°C 41%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
8°C o menos
14%
9°C
19%
10°C
49%
11°C
25%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
16%
16°C
41%
17°C
20%
18°C o más
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on August 27 likely between 11–14°C, driven by mild northwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and local models show overnight lows near 12–13°C, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Historical August climatology features typical minima near 10–11°C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-average pattern with lighter winds and higher dew points reducing the chance of sharper drops. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify any shifts from Atlantic moisture or wind changes that could tip the exact low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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