Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 25 de agosto?
30°C or higher 76%
20°C or below 75%
26°C 30%
27°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
20°C or below
75%
21°C
26%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
76%
30°C or higher 76%
20°C or below 75%
26°C 30%
27°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
20°C or below
$145 Vol.
75%
21°C
$5 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$70 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$225Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$225Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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