Recent forecast consensus from models including those supporting the Finnish Meteorological Institute points to an overnight low near 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 29, driven by southeast winds advecting milder maritime air, increasing cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiational cooling. Trader-implied odds clustering around 13–14°C reflect model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging spread in ensemble runs for wind strength and timing of any showers. Historical late-August climatology, with average lows near 13°C, provides context, yet the current stable high-pressure influence and lack of cold-air outbreaks keep probabilities for sub-12°C outcomes lower despite the market spread. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution around the 15°C threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 29 de agosto?
10°C or below 68%
12°C 49%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
10°C or below
68%
11°C
27%
12°C
49%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
18%
10°C or below 68%
12°C 49%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
10°C or below
68%
11°C
27%
12°C
49%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including those supporting the Finnish Meteorological Institute points to an overnight low near 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 29, driven by southeast winds advecting milder maritime air, increasing cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiational cooling. Trader-implied odds clustering around 13–14°C reflect model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging spread in ensemble runs for wind strength and timing of any showers. Historical late-August climatology, with average lows near 13°C, provides context, yet the current stable high-pressure influence and lack of cold-air outbreaks keep probabilities for sub-12°C outcomes lower despite the market spread. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution around the 15°C threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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