Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 19 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 19 de agosto?
27°C 41%
26°C 35%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 35%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$59 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$101 Vol.
1%
24°C
$24 Vol.
2%
25°C
$42 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
41%
28°C
$56 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$68 Vol.
11%
31°C
$105 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$460Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$460Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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