Forecast models from the Met Office and supporting global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by mild easterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–16°C, and widespread cloud with scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar mild nights (12–17°C range) amid above-average late-summer warmth, with GFS and local guidance showing limited diurnal drop and no strong high-pressure setup for clearer, cooler conditions. Market-implied odds cluster on 18°C and 19°C as these align with the consensus overnight minimum, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if showers clear earlier than expected; upcoming Met Office updates and model runs will refine the exact value before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 26 de agosto?
18°C 50%
19°C 28%
17°C 16%
16°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
50%
19°C
28%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C o más
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 28%
17°C 16%
16°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
12°C o menos
$23 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$23 Vol.
1%
15°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$168 Vol.
5%
17°C
$1,677 Vol.
16%
18°C
$1,608 Vol.
50%
19°C
$284 Vol.
28%
20°C
$100 Vol.
2%
21°C
$74 Vol.
1%
22°C o más
$74 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and supporting global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by mild easterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–16°C, and widespread cloud with scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar mild nights (12–17°C range) amid above-average late-summer warmth, with GFS and local guidance showing limited diurnal drop and no strong high-pressure setup for clearer, cooler conditions. Market-implied odds cluster on 18°C and 19°C as these align with the consensus overnight minimum, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if showers clear earlier than expected; upcoming Met Office updates and model runs will refine the exact value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$4,114Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and supporting global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by mild easterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–16°C, and widespread cloud with scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar mild nights (12–17°C range) amid above-average late-summer warmth, with GFS and local guidance showing limited diurnal drop and no strong high-pressure setup for clearer, cooler conditions. Market-implied odds cluster on 18°C and 19°C as these align with the consensus overnight minimum, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if showers clear earlier than expected; upcoming Met Office updates and model runs will refine the exact value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,114Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and supporting global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by mild easterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–16°C, and widespread cloud with scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar mild nights (12–17°C range) amid above-average late-summer warmth, with GFS and local guidance showing limited diurnal drop and no strong high-pressure setup for clearer, cooler conditions. Market-implied odds cluster on 18°C and 19°C as these align with the consensus overnight minimum, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if showers clear earlier than expected; upcoming Met Office updates and model runs will refine the exact value before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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