**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are the dominant drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperature on August 28 centered in the mid-20s °C.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under high humidity (85–93 %) and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24 °C and 26 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and rainfall timing overnight; clearer intervals could allow slightly more cooling toward 24–25 °C, while persistent low clouds and showers would hold the minimum closer to 26–27 °C. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, providing context for the narrow probability spread. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 28 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 28 de agosto?
26°C 46%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
27°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
40%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 46%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
27°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$27 Vol.
4%
23°C
$64 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$37 Vol.
8%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are the dominant drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperature on August 28 centered in the mid-20s °C.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under high humidity (85–93 %) and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24 °C and 26 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and rainfall timing overnight; clearer intervals could allow slightly more cooling toward 24–25 °C, while persistent low clouds and showers would hold the minimum closer to 26–27 °C. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, providing context for the narrow probability spread. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$208Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are the dominant drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperature on August 28 centered in the mid-20s °C.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under high humidity (85–93 %) and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24 °C and 26 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and rainfall timing overnight; clearer intervals could allow slightly more cooling toward 24–25 °C, while persistent low clouds and showers would hold the minimum closer to 26–27 °C. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, providing context for the narrow probability spread. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$208Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are the dominant drivers keeping Manila's minimum temperature on August 28 centered in the mid-20s °C.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under high humidity (85–93 %) and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24 °C and 26 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and rainfall timing overnight; clearer intervals could allow slightly more cooling toward 24–25 °C, while persistent low clouds and showers would hold the minimum closer to 26–27 °C. Historical August minima average 25–26 °C, providing context for the narrow probability spread. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes