Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila through August 29. These conditions suppress diurnal temperature ranges, anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. Heavy rainfall and sustained southwesterly winds further limit radiational cooling, reducing the likelihood of sub-24 °C readings while also preventing extreme warmth. With multiple ensemble members clustered around this narrow band and minimal model spread expected before the daily minimum is recorded, trader probabilities remain closely distributed across the 24–27 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 29 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 29 de agosto?
31°C o más 60%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
21°C o menos
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
60%
31°C o más 60%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$135 Vol.
9%
22°C
$54 Vol.
7%
23°C
$34 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila through August 29. These conditions suppress diurnal temperature ranges, anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. Heavy rainfall and sustained southwesterly winds further limit radiational cooling, reducing the likelihood of sub-24 °C readings while also preventing extreme warmth. With multiple ensemble members clustered around this narrow band and minimal model spread expected before the daily minimum is recorded, trader probabilities remain closely distributed across the 24–27 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$243Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila through August 29. These conditions suppress diurnal temperature ranges, anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. Heavy rainfall and sustained southwesterly winds further limit radiational cooling, reducing the likelihood of sub-24 °C readings while also preventing extreme warmth. With multiple ensemble members clustered around this narrow band and minimal model spread expected before the daily minimum is recorded, trader probabilities remain closely distributed across the 24–27 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$243Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila through August 29. These conditions suppress diurnal temperature ranges, anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. Heavy rainfall and sustained southwesterly winds further limit radiational cooling, reducing the likelihood of sub-24 °C readings while also preventing extreme warmth. With multiple ensemble members clustered around this narrow band and minimal model spread expected before the daily minimum is recorded, trader probabilities remain closely distributed across the 24–27 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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