Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by distant tropical systems, is driving mostly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds across Metro Manila, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27°C. Official PAGASA observations and short-range models show recent overnight lows near 27°C amid high humidity and persistent cloud cover, while ensemble spreads and historical August baselines near 25–26°C create tight probability bands for 25–27°C outcomes. Light-to-moderate rainfall on the 27th could further suppress cooling or allow brief clearer intervals that dip closer to 24°C, explaining the narrow differentiation among leading contracts as traders weigh the latest model consensus against typical monsoon variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 27 de agosto?
29°C 49%
22°C 33%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
21°C o menos
3%
22°C
33%
23°C
1%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
13%
29°C 49%
22°C 33%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
33%
23°C
$145 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by distant tropical systems, is driving mostly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds across Metro Manila, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27°C. Official PAGASA observations and short-range models show recent overnight lows near 27°C amid high humidity and persistent cloud cover, while ensemble spreads and historical August baselines near 25–26°C create tight probability bands for 25–27°C outcomes. Light-to-moderate rainfall on the 27th could further suppress cooling or allow brief clearer intervals that dip closer to 24°C, explaining the narrow differentiation among leading contracts as traders weigh the latest model consensus against typical monsoon variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$170Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by distant tropical systems, is driving mostly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds across Metro Manila, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27°C. Official PAGASA observations and short-range models show recent overnight lows near 27°C amid high humidity and persistent cloud cover, while ensemble spreads and historical August baselines near 25–26°C create tight probability bands for 25–27°C outcomes. Light-to-moderate rainfall on the 27th could further suppress cooling or allow brief clearer intervals that dip closer to 24°C, explaining the narrow differentiation among leading contracts as traders weigh the latest model consensus against typical monsoon variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$170Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by distant tropical systems, is driving mostly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds across Metro Manila, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27°C. Official PAGASA observations and short-range models show recent overnight lows near 27°C amid high humidity and persistent cloud cover, while ensemble spreads and historical August baselines near 25–26°C create tight probability bands for 25–27°C outcomes. Light-to-moderate rainfall on the 27th could further suppress cooling or allow brief clearer intervals that dip closer to 24°C, explaining the narrow differentiation among leading contracts as traders weigh the latest model consensus against typical monsoon variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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