Active southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by distant tropical cyclone activity, are sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity over Manila, anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near the 26–27°C range observed in recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus. In this tropical maritime environment, radiative cooling is limited by persistent moisture and light-to-moderate southwesterly flow, preventing typical August nocturnal drops below 25°C while also capping daytime peaks. Forecasters note that any reduction in convective activity or temporary clearing on the 25th–26th could permit marginally lower readings around 25°C, whereas continued heavy rain and cloud decks would favor the higher end of the 26–28°C cluster; latest ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 26 de agosto?
31°C o más 45%
23°C 43%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
21°C o menos
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
43%
24°C
19%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
45%
31°C o más 45%
23°C 43%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
21°C o menos
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
43%
24°C
19%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by distant tropical cyclone activity, are sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity over Manila, anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near the 26–27°C range observed in recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus. In this tropical maritime environment, radiative cooling is limited by persistent moisture and light-to-moderate southwesterly flow, preventing typical August nocturnal drops below 25°C while also capping daytime peaks. Forecasters note that any reduction in convective activity or temporary clearing on the 25th–26th could permit marginally lower readings around 25°C, whereas continued heavy rain and cloud decks would favor the higher end of the 26–28°C cluster; latest ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes