The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 25 de agosto?
21°C o menos 69%
31°C o más 69%
25°C 30%
27°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
21°C o menos
69%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
69%
21°C o menos 69%
31°C o más 69%
25°C 30%
27°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$145 Vol.
69%
22°C
$145 Vol.
1%
23°C
$69 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$5 Vol.
24%
29°C
$67 Vol.
19%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$145 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$581Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$581Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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