Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models project a nighttime minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 25 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C lows amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance radiational cooling or advect cooler air. Trader consensus around 26–27°C (77.5% combined) reflects this narrow forecast envelope, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C capture residual uncertainty in exact observatory readings and microscale variations. Updated guidance ahead of the 24–25 August period will refine these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 25 de agosto?
27°C 54%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
54%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 24%
28°C 20%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
21°C or below
$557 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$215 Vol.
3%
25°C
$97 Vol.
5%
26°C
$211 Vol.
24%
27°C
$300 Vol.
54%
28°C
$233 Vol.
20%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$32 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models project a nighttime minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 25 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C lows amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance radiational cooling or advect cooler air. Trader consensus around 26–27°C (77.5% combined) reflects this narrow forecast envelope, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C capture residual uncertainty in exact observatory readings and microscale variations. Updated guidance ahead of the 24–25 August period will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,227Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models project a nighttime minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 25 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C lows amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance radiational cooling or advect cooler air. Trader consensus around 26–27°C (77.5% combined) reflects this narrow forecast envelope, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C capture residual uncertainty in exact observatory readings and microscale variations. Updated guidance ahead of the 24–25 August period will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,227Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models project a nighttime minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 25 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C lows amid persistent high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance radiational cooling or advect cooler air. Trader consensus around 26–27°C (77.5% combined) reflects this narrow forecast envelope, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C capture residual uncertainty in exact observatory readings and microscale variations. Updated guidance ahead of the 24–25 August period will refine these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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