Persistent warm, humid conditions from a late-August heatwave are keeping Miami's overnight lows elevated above the climatological average of 77–78°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a low near 80–82°F on August 21, driven by high dew points, limited radiative cooling under tropical air masses, and recent record daytime highs exceeding 96°F that have maintained elevated surface temperatures. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 80–83°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any significant frontal passage or rainfall-driven cooling. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will finalize the daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 21 de agosto?
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 19%
86-87°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 19%
86-87°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
71°F o menos
$268 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$203 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$203 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$108 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$214 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$166 Vol.
42%
82-83°F
$740 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$31 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$159 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions from a late-August heatwave are keeping Miami's overnight lows elevated above the climatological average of 77–78°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a low near 80–82°F on August 21, driven by high dew points, limited radiative cooling under tropical air masses, and recent record daytime highs exceeding 96°F that have maintained elevated surface temperatures. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 80–83°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any significant frontal passage or rainfall-driven cooling. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will finalize the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$2,471Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions from a late-August heatwave are keeping Miami's overnight lows elevated above the climatological average of 77–78°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a low near 80–82°F on August 21, driven by high dew points, limited radiative cooling under tropical air masses, and recent record daytime highs exceeding 96°F that have maintained elevated surface temperatures. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 80–83°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any significant frontal passage or rainfall-driven cooling. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will finalize the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,471Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions from a late-August heatwave are keeping Miami's overnight lows elevated above the climatological average of 77–78°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a low near 80–82°F on August 21, driven by high dew points, limited radiative cooling under tropical air masses, and recent record daytime highs exceeding 96°F that have maintained elevated surface temperatures. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 80–83°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any significant frontal passage or rainfall-driven cooling. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will finalize the daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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