Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 24 de agosto?
68°F o más 65%
58-59°F 37%
49°F o menos 28%
60-61°F 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
49°F o menos
28%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
1%
68°F o más
65%
68°F o más 65%
58-59°F 37%
49°F o menos 28%
60-61°F 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
49°F o menos
$55 Vol.
28%
50-51°F
$55 Vol.
16%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
38%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
21%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$55 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
1%
68°F o más
$185 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$360Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$360Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes