Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 20 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 20 de junio?
21°C 40%
20°C 36%
22°C 14%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 jun 2026
17°C o menos
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
12%
20°C
36%
21°C
40%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 40%
20°C 36%
22°C 14%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$165 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C
$39 Vol.
36%
21°C
$8 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$306 Vol.
1%
26°C
$280 Vol.
1%
27°C o más
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$558Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$558Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes