Current forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate overnight lows centered near 22°C, with models showing limited cooling under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the East Asian monsoon transition. These conditions suppress radiative heat loss compared to clearer nights, aligning with climatological June averages of 21–24°C while limiting downside risk below 21°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without significant cold-air intrusions or rapid clearing expected overnight, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant trader-weighted outcomes at 42.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated runs closer to the date could shift odds if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de junio?
22°C 43%
23°C 32%
24°C 10%
21°C 9.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
43%
23°C
32%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 32%
24°C 10%
21°C 9.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$27 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$27 Vol.
1%
19°C
$51 Vol.
1%
20°C
$11 Vol.
5%
21°C
$32 Vol.
9%
22°C
$26 Vol.
43%
23°C
$3 Vol.
32%
24°C
$18 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$37 Vol.
1%
27°C o más
$277 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate overnight lows centered near 22°C, with models showing limited cooling under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the East Asian monsoon transition. These conditions suppress radiative heat loss compared to clearer nights, aligning with climatological June averages of 21–24°C while limiting downside risk below 21°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without significant cold-air intrusions or rapid clearing expected overnight, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant trader-weighted outcomes at 42.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated runs closer to the date could shift odds if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$508Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate overnight lows centered near 22°C, with models showing limited cooling under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the East Asian monsoon transition. These conditions suppress radiative heat loss compared to clearer nights, aligning with climatological June averages of 21–24°C while limiting downside risk below 21°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without significant cold-air intrusions or rapid clearing expected overnight, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant trader-weighted outcomes at 42.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated runs closer to the date could shift odds if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$508Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate overnight lows centered near 22°C, with models showing limited cooling under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the East Asian monsoon transition. These conditions suppress radiative heat loss compared to clearer nights, aligning with climatological June averages of 21–24°C while limiting downside risk below 21°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without significant cold-air intrusions or rapid clearing expected overnight, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant trader-weighted outcomes at 42.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Updated runs closer to the date could shift odds if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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