Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to the August climatological average of ~25–26 °C while steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures maintain warm air advection from the South China Sea. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though any unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or heavier rainfall could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the 25–27 °C range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of likely outcomes, tempered by residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the inherent variability of localized precipitation timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 27 de agosto?
22°C or below 78%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
30°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
22°C or below
78%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
49%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 78%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
30°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
78%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
49%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to the August climatological average of ~25–26 °C while steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures maintain warm air advection from the South China Sea. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though any unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or heavier rainfall could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the 25–27 °C range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of likely outcomes, tempered by residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the inherent variability of localized precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to the August climatological average of ~25–26 °C while steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures maintain warm air advection from the South China Sea. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though any unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or heavier rainfall could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the 25–27 °C range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of likely outcomes, tempered by residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the inherent variability of localized precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to the August climatological average of ~25–26 °C while steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures maintain warm air advection from the South China Sea. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability over the next 48 hours, though any unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or heavier rainfall could nudge the minimum slightly lower within the 25–27 °C range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of likely outcomes, tempered by residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the inherent variability of localized precipitation timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes