Current forecasts for Tel Aviv indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, with minimum temperatures expected between 22–25°C under clear, stable high-pressure influence and light winds. Official model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles supports this range, aligning with historical August lows averaging near 23–24°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C outcomes, incorporates these data while pricing in modest forecast spread from potential nocturnal cooling variations or minor model shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution. Warmer 28°C+ odds capture tail risks from heat retention, though recent observations show no anomalous warming trends. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before the daily minimum is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 25 de agosto?
28°C or higher 86%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
14%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
86%
28°C or higher 86%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
18°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$119 Vol.
5%
20°C
$105 Vol.
20%
21°C
$6 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$40 Vol.
24%
26°C
$25 Vol.
4%
27°C
$20 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tel Aviv indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, with minimum temperatures expected between 22–25°C under clear, stable high-pressure influence and light winds. Official model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles supports this range, aligning with historical August lows averaging near 23–24°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C outcomes, incorporates these data while pricing in modest forecast spread from potential nocturnal cooling variations or minor model shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution. Warmer 28°C+ odds capture tail risks from heat retention, though recent observations show no anomalous warming trends. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$655Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tel Aviv indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, with minimum temperatures expected between 22–25°C under clear, stable high-pressure influence and light winds. Official model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles supports this range, aligning with historical August lows averaging near 23–24°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C outcomes, incorporates these data while pricing in modest forecast spread from potential nocturnal cooling variations or minor model shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution. Warmer 28°C+ odds capture tail risks from heat retention, though recent observations show no anomalous warming trends. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$655Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tel Aviv indicate typical late-August Mediterranean conditions, with minimum temperatures expected between 22–25°C under clear, stable high-pressure influence and light winds. Official model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles supports this range, aligning with historical August lows averaging near 23–24°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C outcomes, incorporates these data while pricing in modest forecast spread from potential nocturnal cooling variations or minor model shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution. Warmer 28°C+ odds capture tail risks from heat retention, though recent observations show no anomalous warming trends. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before the daily minimum is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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