Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 6 de septiembre?
29°C o más 62%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
25°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
19°C o menos
30%
20°C
19%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
62%
29°C o más 62%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
25°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$10 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$0 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$10Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes