Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 15 de septiembre?
14°C 99.5%
8°C o menos 90%
9°C 90%
10°C 13%
$1,191 Vol.
$1,191 Vol.
15 sep 2026
8°C o menos
90%
9°C
90%
10°C
13%
11°C
10%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
14°C 99.5%
8°C o menos 90%
9°C 90%
10°C 13%
$1,191 Vol.
$1,191 Vol.
15 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$0 Vol.
90%
9°C
$35 Vol.
90%
10°C
$90 Vol.
13%
11°C
$70 Vol.
10%
12°C
$149 Vol.
1%
13°C
$133 Vol.
1%
14°C
$305 Vol.
100%
15°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,191Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,191Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature measurements from Environment Canada stations in Toronto established a daily minimum of 14°C on September 15, producing the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including a moderating high-pressure system and minimal overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, aligned with historical climatological norms for mid-September and prevented deeper cooling. Model consensus from the Canadian Meteorological Centre had already converged on this range days earlier. Minor uncertainty remains only from potential post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments occur infrequently and rarely exceed 1°C. No further forecast updates apply given the date's passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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