**Persistent warm and humid conditions across Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, support the near-certain market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher.** Multiple forecast models show overnight lows holding near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, high dew points around 24–26°C, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-August monsoon patterns in the region, where average August lows hover near 22–23°C but recent model runs indicate reduced diurnal temperature range due to moisture and cloud cover. Official sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project no significant drop below 25°C through the night. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require clearer skies or an unforecasted surge of drier, cooler air, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 26 de agosto?
25°C o más 99.5%
24°C 6.9%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
$4,207 Vol.
$4,207 Vol.
26 ago 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C o más
100%
25°C o más 99.5%
24°C 6.9%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
$4,207 Vol.
$4,207 Vol.
26 ago 2026
15°C o menos
$419 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$892 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$919 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$594 Vol.
7%
25°C o más
$198 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm and humid conditions across Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, support the near-certain market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher.** Multiple forecast models show overnight lows holding near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, high dew points around 24–26°C, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-August monsoon patterns in the region, where average August lows hover near 22–23°C but recent model runs indicate reduced diurnal temperature range due to moisture and cloud cover. Official sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project no significant drop below 25°C through the night.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require clearer skies or an unforecasted surge of drier, cooler air, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$4,207Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm and humid conditions across Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, support the near-certain market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher.** Multiple forecast models show overnight lows holding near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, high dew points around 24–26°C, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-August monsoon patterns in the region, where average August lows hover near 22–23°C but recent model runs indicate reduced diurnal temperature range due to moisture and cloud cover. Official sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project no significant drop below 25°C through the night.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require clearer skies or an unforecasted surge of drier, cooler air, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,207Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm and humid conditions across Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, support the near-certain market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher.** Multiple forecast models show overnight lows holding near 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, high dew points around 24–26°C, and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-August monsoon patterns in the region, where average August lows hover near 22–23°C but recent model runs indicate reduced diurnal temperature range due to moisture and cloud cover. Official sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project no significant drop below 25°C through the night. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require clearer skies or an unforecasted surge of drier, cooler air, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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