Traders assign a 96.4% implied probability that Elon Musk remains Tesla CEO through the end of 2026 because his ownership stake exceeds 20% with substantial voting power, reinforced by the 2018 performance award he exercised in June 2026 and a new multibillion-dollar compensation plan approved in 2025. Both tie continued service as CEO or product lead through at least 2028 to vesting and holding requirements, aligning board incentives with his leadership of the company's shift toward autonomous vehicles, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus robotics. Recent Tesla results show recovering U.S. EV market share amid robotaxi and AI initiatives under Musk's direction. While near-term removal appears improbable, low-probability catalysts such as unforeseen regulatory action, a sudden personal event, or an extreme governance crisis could still intervene before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
4% probabilidad
$17,110 Vol.
$17,110 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
4% probabilidad
$17,110 Vol.
$17,110 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.4% implied probability that Elon Musk remains Tesla CEO through the end of 2026 because his ownership stake exceeds 20% with substantial voting power, reinforced by the 2018 performance award he exercised in June 2026 and a new multibillion-dollar compensation plan approved in 2025. Both tie continued service as CEO or product lead through at least 2028 to vesting and holding requirements, aligning board incentives with his leadership of the company's shift toward autonomous vehicles, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus robotics. Recent Tesla results show recovering U.S. EV market share amid robotaxi and AI initiatives under Musk's direction. While near-term removal appears improbable, low-probability catalysts such as unforeseen regulatory action, a sudden personal event, or an extreme governance crisis could still intervene before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
Volumen
$17,110Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.4% implied probability that Elon Musk remains Tesla CEO through the end of 2026 because his ownership stake exceeds 20% with substantial voting power, reinforced by the 2018 performance award he exercised in June 2026 and a new multibillion-dollar compensation plan approved in 2025. Both tie continued service as CEO or product lead through at least 2028 to vesting and holding requirements, aligning board incentives with his leadership of the company's shift toward autonomous vehicles, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus robotics. Recent Tesla results show recovering U.S. EV market share amid robotaxi and AI initiatives under Musk's direction. While near-term removal appears improbable, low-probability catalysts such as unforeseen regulatory action, a sudden personal event, or an extreme governance crisis could still intervene before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$17,110Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.4% implied probability that Elon Musk remains Tesla CEO through the end of 2026 because his ownership stake exceeds 20% with substantial voting power, reinforced by the 2018 performance award he exercised in June 2026 and a new multibillion-dollar compensation plan approved in 2025. Both tie continued service as CEO or product lead through at least 2028 to vesting and holding requirements, aligning board incentives with his leadership of the company's shift toward autonomous vehicles, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus robotics. Recent Tesla results show recovering U.S. EV market share amid robotaxi and AI initiatives under Musk's direction. While near-term removal appears improbable, low-probability catalysts such as unforeseen regulatory action, a sudden personal event, or an extreme governance crisis could still intervene before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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