Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the immediate Gemini 3.5 Flash release “next month,” forms the core driver behind trader positioning on a June launch. With Flash already shipping and outperforming prior Pro versions on coding and agentic benchmarks, market consensus favors a late-June rollout to close remaining gaps in complex reasoning while maintaining competitive parity with rival large language models. The 30-day window from the keynote, combined with Google’s history of iterative Gemini updates and the absence of a firm internal date, leaves room for last-minute refinement or slippage, reflected in the 13.5% probability assigned to no release by month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado30 de junio 31%
23 de junio 24%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio 13.5%
22 de junio 6.0%
$114,900 Vol.
$114,900 Vol.
30 jun 2026
13 de junio
<1%
14 de junio
<1%
15 de junio
<1%
16 de junio
2%
17 de junio
2%
18 de junio
4%
19 de junio
2%
20 de junio
1%
21 de junio
1%
22 de junio
6%
23 de junio
24%
24 de junio
4%
25 de junio
2%
26 de junio
6%
27 de junio
1%
28 de junio
<1%
29 de junio
<1%
30 de junio
31%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio
13%
30 de junio 31%
23 de junio 24%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio 13.5%
22 de junio 6.0%
$114,900 Vol.
$114,900 Vol.
30 jun 2026
13 de junio
$3,166 Vol.
<1%
14 de junio
$2,635 Vol.
<1%
15 de junio
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
16 de junio
$3,410 Vol.
2%
17 de junio
$3,529 Vol.
2%
18 de junio
$2,595 Vol.
4%
19 de junio
$2,546 Vol.
2%
20 de junio
$1,452 Vol.
1%
21 de junio
$1,501 Vol.
1%
22 de junio
$4,593 Vol.
6%
23 de junio
$4,531 Vol.
24%
24 de junio
$2,942 Vol.
4%
25 de junio
$1,439 Vol.
2%
26 de junio
$3,336 Vol.
6%
27 de junio
$2,019 Vol.
1%
28 de junio
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
29 de junio
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
30 de junio
$5,928 Vol.
31%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio
$17,747 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the immediate Gemini 3.5 Flash release “next month,” forms the core driver behind trader positioning on a June launch. With Flash already shipping and outperforming prior Pro versions on coding and agentic benchmarks, market consensus favors a late-June rollout to close remaining gaps in complex reasoning while maintaining competitive parity with rival large language models. The 30-day window from the keynote, combined with Google’s history of iterative Gemini updates and the absence of a firm internal date, leaves room for last-minute refinement or slippage, reflected in the 13.5% probability assigned to no release by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volumen
$114,900Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the immediate Gemini 3.5 Flash release “next month,” forms the core driver behind trader positioning on a June launch. With Flash already shipping and outperforming prior Pro versions on coding and agentic benchmarks, market consensus favors a late-June rollout to close remaining gaps in complex reasoning while maintaining competitive parity with rival large language models. The 30-day window from the keynote, combined with Google’s history of iterative Gemini updates and the absence of a firm internal date, leaves room for last-minute refinement or slippage, reflected in the 13.5% probability assigned to no release by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$114,900Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the immediate Gemini 3.5 Flash release “next month,” forms the core driver behind trader positioning on a June launch. With Flash already shipping and outperforming prior Pro versions on coding and agentic benchmarks, market consensus favors a late-June rollout to close remaining gaps in complex reasoning while maintaining competitive parity with rival large language models. The 30-day window from the keynote, combined with Google’s history of iterative Gemini updates and the absence of a firm internal date, leaves room for last-minute refinement or slippage, reflected in the 13.5% probability assigned to no release by month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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