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Tech·IA

¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?

icon for ¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?
Tech·IA

¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?

ago 31

sep 30

ago 31

sep 30

Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre 54%

9 de septiembre 12%

20 de septiembre 6%

28 de septiembre 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre 54%

9 de septiembre 12%

20 de septiembre 6%

28 de septiembre 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

En o antes del 1 de septiembre

$62 Vol.

3%

2 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

3 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

4 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

5 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

6 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

7 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

8 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

4%

9 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

12%

10 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

1%

11 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

12 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

13 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

14 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

15 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

16 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

4%

17 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

3%

18 de septiembre

$61 Vol.

5%

19 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

4%

20 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

6%

21 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

22 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

23 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

6%

24 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

25 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

26 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

27 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

5%

28 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

6%

29 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

4%

30 de septiembre

$58 Vol.

3%

Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre

$250 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, the next major Pro-tier large language model after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, are the dominant driver of market sentiment. Despite May announcements positioning the model for a June rollout with advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities, repeated internal performance shortfalls have kept it unavailable as of mid-August, while faster Flash variants like 3.6 and 3.7 shipped in July and August. This pattern of missed deadlines and focus on lighter models has elevated the "no release by September 30" outcome to 42% implied probability, reflecting trader views that competitive pressures and technical hurdles make a near-term Pro launch unlikely. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind statements or API listings that could shift the closely watched September windows.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,001
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, the next major Pro-tier large language model after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, are the dominant driver of market sentiment. Despite May announcements positioning the model for a June rollout with advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities, repeated internal performance shortfalls have kept it unavailable as of mid-August, while faster Flash variants like 3.6 and 3.7 shipped in July and August. This pattern of missed deadlines and focus on lighter models has elevated the "no release by September 30" outcome to 42% implied probability, reflecting trader views that competitive pressures and technical hurdles make a near-term Pro launch unlikely. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind statements or API listings that could shift the closely watched September windows.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,001
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 31 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre" con 54%, seguido de "10 de septiembre" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 54¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?", explora los 31 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es "Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre" con 54%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "10 de septiembre" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.