Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 56.8 percent as Greater Manchester mayor, with his path to Westminster via the Makerfield by-election positioning him to challenge Keir Starmer amid Labour's leadership turmoil. Recent cabinet resignations, including Health Secretary Wes Streeting, and former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner's cleared tax issues have intensified speculation over a potential contest this year. Traders price "No Next PM in 2026" at 12 percent, reflecting uncertainty over timing before the next general election, while Streeting, Rayner, and Ed Miliband trail as secondary contenders at single-digit probabilities. These developments tie directly to Starmer's weakened position after poor local election results and internal party pressure, with upcoming by-election outcomes and any formal challenge threshold serving as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?
¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?
Andy Burnham 56.8%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026 12%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,292,378 Vol.
$7,292,378 Vol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026
12%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
3%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.8%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026 12%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,292,378 Vol.
$7,292,378 Vol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026
12%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
3%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 56.8 percent as Greater Manchester mayor, with his path to Westminster via the Makerfield by-election positioning him to challenge Keir Starmer amid Labour's leadership turmoil. Recent cabinet resignations, including Health Secretary Wes Streeting, and former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner's cleared tax issues have intensified speculation over a potential contest this year. Traders price "No Next PM in 2026" at 12 percent, reflecting uncertainty over timing before the next general election, while Streeting, Rayner, and Ed Miliband trail as secondary contenders at single-digit probabilities. These developments tie directly to Starmer's weakened position after poor local election results and internal party pressure, with upcoming by-election outcomes and any formal challenge threshold serving as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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