Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?
¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?
Andy Burnham 56.1%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026 16%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,427,934 Vol.
$7,427,934 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Andy Burnham
56%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026
16%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
2%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.1%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026 16%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,427,934 Vol.
$7,427,934 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Andy Burnham
$577,091 Vol.
56%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026
$419,797 Vol.
16%
Wes Streeting
$286,773 Vol.
10%
Angela Rayner
$475,253 Vol.
10%
Ed Miliband
$320,826 Vol.
7%
Al Carns
$217,115 Vol.
2%
Nigel Farage
$810,430 Vol.
1%
Shabana Mahmood
$302,938 Vol.
1%
Yvette Cooper
$285,998 Vol.
1%
Lucy Powell
$304,437 Vol.
<1%
Rupert Lowe
$692,849 Vol.
<1%
Rachel Reeves
$521,757 Vol.
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
$198,803 Vol.
<1%
Boris Johnson
$259,833 Vol.
<1%
Ed Davey
$354,406 Vol.
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
$137,584 Vol.
<1%
Robert Jenrick
$376,493 Vol.
<1%
David Lammy
$335,543 Vol.
<1%
James Cleverly
$298,176 Vol.
<1%
Darren Jones
$211,871 Vol.
<1%
John Healey
$40,016 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volumen
$7,427,934Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,427,934Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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