Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?

¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?

icon for ¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?

¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?

3 de septiembre 39.1%

Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre 14%

El 2 de septiembre o antes 6.7%

13 de septiembre 5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$18,492 Vol.

3 de septiembre 39.1%

Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre 14%

El 2 de septiembre o antes 6.7%

13 de septiembre 5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$18,492 Vol.

El 2 de septiembre o antes

$1,019 Vol.

7%

3 de septiembre

$1,120 Vol.

39%

4 de septiembre

$921 Vol.

2%

5 de septiembre

$526 Vol.

2%

6 de septiembre

$525 Vol.

2%

7 de septiembre

$520 Vol.

3%

8 de septiembre

$520 Vol.

3%

9 de septiembre

$520 Vol.

2%

10 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

2%

11 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

12 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

13 de septiembre

$657 Vol.

5%

14 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

15 de septiembre

$779 Vol.

<1%

16 de septiembre

$430 Vol.

1%

17 de septiembre

$430 Vol.

2%

18 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

19 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

20 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

21 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

2%

22 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

23 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

2%

24 de septiembre

$837 Vol.

2%

25 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

3%

26 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

2%

27 de septiembre

$939 Vol.

4%

28 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

3%

29 de septiembre

$567 Vol.

1%

30 de septiembre

$440 Vol.

2%

Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre

$1,133 Vol.

14%

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming that Astra, its next major large language model, has reached the company’s first “critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework is the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward an early-September release. The post stated that Astra can identify and exploit zero-day vulnerabilities without step-by-step human guidance, prompting additional safeguards and a temporary development pause after the July Hugging Face incident; OpenAI explicitly said it plans to make the model “available soon” with restricted advanced cyber features for select testers via Daybreak Blue. This official language, paired with resumed training workloads and benchmark outperformance versus GPT-5.6 Sol, has shifted trader consensus toward an imminent launch while leaving room for last-minute safety reviews or limited initial access that could push the date slightly later within September.

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.

For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,492
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming that Astra, its next major large language model, has reached the company’s first “critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework is the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward an early-September release. The post stated that Astra can identify and exploit zero-day vulnerabilities without step-by-step human guidance, prompting additional safeguards and a temporary development pause after the July Hugging Face incident; OpenAI explicitly said it plans to make the model “available soon” with restricted advanced cyber features for select testers via Daybreak Blue. This official language, paired with resumed training workloads and benchmark outperformance versus GPT-5.6 Sol, has shifted trader consensus toward an imminent launch while leaving room for last-minute safety reviews or limited initial access that could push the date slightly later within September.

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.

For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,492
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "3 de septiembre" con 39%, seguido de "Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?" ha generado $18.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?" es "3 de septiembre" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Astra de OpenAI lanzado el...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.