Anthropic’s release of detailed R&D automation metrics in mid-September, showing Claude leading 26% of internal AI research and development work while collaborating on over 90%, has anchored trader consensus at 92% for the company holding the best AI agent by end of September. Recent Claude models such as Fable 5.1 and Opus 5.1 continue to top independent agentic benchmarks measuring tool use, long-horizon task completion, and error recovery, reinforced by practical releases like the open-source Commerce Agents blueprint and Project Fetch demonstrations of physical tool operation. Traders view these verified capability and safety transparency steps as decisive in a market where agent performance hinges on reliable multi-step execution rather than raw model scale. A late-month OpenAI model update or undisclosed benchmark reversal could still shift sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 92%
OpenAI 6.2%
Microsoft <1%
Google <1%
$223,979 Vol.
$223,979 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Anthropic
92%
OpenAI
6%
Microsoft
<1%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 6.2%
Microsoft <1%
Google <1%
$223,979 Vol.
$223,979 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Anthropic
$57,522 Vol.
92%
OpenAI
$44,328 Vol.
6%
Microsoft
$9,214 Vol.
<1%
$9,251 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$7,614 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$9,159 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$9,311 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$7,938 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$8,766 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$7,494 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$539 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$7,551 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$7,730 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$7,427 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$7,554 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$7,543 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$7,538 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$7,498 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s release of detailed R&D automation metrics in mid-September, showing Claude leading 26% of internal AI research and development work while collaborating on over 90%, has anchored trader consensus at 92% for the company holding the best AI agent by end of September. Recent Claude models such as Fable 5.1 and Opus 5.1 continue to top independent agentic benchmarks measuring tool use, long-horizon task completion, and error recovery, reinforced by practical releases like the open-source Commerce Agents blueprint and Project Fetch demonstrations of physical tool operation. Traders view these verified capability and safety transparency steps as decisive in a market where agent performance hinges on reliable multi-step execution rather than raw model scale. A late-month OpenAI model update or undisclosed benchmark reversal could still shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volumen
$223,979Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s release of detailed R&D automation metrics in mid-September, showing Claude leading 26% of internal AI research and development work while collaborating on over 90%, has anchored trader consensus at 92% for the company holding the best AI agent by end of September. Recent Claude models such as Fable 5.1 and Opus 5.1 continue to top independent agentic benchmarks measuring tool use, long-horizon task completion, and error recovery, reinforced by practical releases like the open-source Commerce Agents blueprint and Project Fetch demonstrations of physical tool operation. Traders view these verified capability and safety transparency steps as decisive in a market where agent performance hinges on reliable multi-step execution rather than raw model scale. A late-month OpenAI model update or undisclosed benchmark reversal could still shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$223,979Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s release of detailed R&D automation metrics in mid-September, showing Claude leading 26% of internal AI research and development work while collaborating on over 90%, has anchored trader consensus at 92% for the company holding the best AI agent by end of September. Recent Claude models such as Fable 5.1 and Opus 5.1 continue to top independent agentic benchmarks measuring tool use, long-horizon task completion, and error recovery, reinforced by practical releases like the open-source Commerce Agents blueprint and Project Fetch demonstrations of physical tool operation. Traders view these verified capability and safety transparency steps as decisive in a market where agent performance hinges on reliable multi-step execution rather than raw model scale. A late-month OpenAI model update or undisclosed benchmark reversal could still shift sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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