OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOpenAI 78.5%
Anthropic 21%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,872 Vol.
$148,872 Vol.
30 sep 2026
OpenAI
79%
Anthropic
21%
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 78.5%
Anthropic 21%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,872 Vol.
$148,872 Vol.
30 sep 2026
OpenAI
$29,045 Vol.
79%
Anthropic
$61,821 Vol.
21%
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$20,288 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volumen
$148,872Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$148,872Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 5 release of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven the 78% market-implied probability that it will lead Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard at month-end. The model quickly posted a 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point gap over the nearest Anthropic entry and topping categories such as data analytics and consumer-product builds. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step frontend workflows, while Anthropic’s 21% odds capture its still-competitive Claude variants. No subsequent model launches have narrowed the margin in the past two weeks, though any late-September update from either lab could alter final rankings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será Anthropic el segundo mejor laboratorio de IA para desarrollo web en Code Arena a finales de septiembre de 2026?
81%
Sí
¿Será Alibaba el tercer mejor Code Arena | laboratorio de IA WebDev a finales de septiembre de 2026?
57%
Sí
¿Será Google el segundo mejor laboratorio de IA para WebDev en Code Arena al final de noviembre de 2026?
43%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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