Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects a tight cluster of late-September probabilities driven by unconfirmed rumors of an imminent launch, likely Opus 5.1 or a comparable upgrade. As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic has not issued an official announcement following Opus 5’s July debut, yet industry chatter points to a window around September 17–18 or the month’s end, consistent with the company’s recent cadence of 4–8 week Opus iterations. Competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s focus on agentic capabilities and safety refinements, keeps timelines fluid. Traders weigh these factors against historical patterns where feature-complete releases sometimes slip due to benchmark tuning or internal reviews, leaving the market evenly split across several dates with meaningful implied odds on a release before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado25 de septiembre 14%
23 de septiembre 13%
28 de septiembre 13%
30 de septiembre 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
El 16 de septiembre o antes
<1%
17 de septiembre
7%
18 de septiembre
6%
19 de septiembre
1%
20 de septiembre
5%
21 de septiembre
7%
22 de septiembre
10%
23 de septiembre
13%
24 de septiembre
12%
25 de septiembre
14%
26 de septiembre
5%
27 de septiembre
5%
28 de septiembre
13%
29 de septiembre
12%
30 de septiembre
13%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre
16%
25 de septiembre 14%
23 de septiembre 13%
28 de septiembre 13%
30 de septiembre 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
El 16 de septiembre o antes
$149 Vol.
<1%
17 de septiembre
$397 Vol.
7%
18 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
6%
19 de septiembre
$447 Vol.
1%
20 de septiembre
$468 Vol.
5%
21 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
7%
22 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
10%
23 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
13%
24 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
12%
25 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
14%
26 de septiembre
$447 Vol.
5%
27 de septiembre
$447 Vol.
5%
28 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
13%
29 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
12%
30 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
13%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre
$40 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects a tight cluster of late-September probabilities driven by unconfirmed rumors of an imminent launch, likely Opus 5.1 or a comparable upgrade. As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic has not issued an official announcement following Opus 5’s July debut, yet industry chatter points to a window around September 17–18 or the month’s end, consistent with the company’s recent cadence of 4–8 week Opus iterations. Competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s focus on agentic capabilities and safety refinements, keeps timelines fluid. Traders weigh these factors against historical patterns where feature-complete releases sometimes slip due to benchmark tuning or internal reviews, leaving the market evenly split across several dates with meaningful implied odds on a release before October.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Volumen
$2,354Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects a tight cluster of late-September probabilities driven by unconfirmed rumors of an imminent launch, likely Opus 5.1 or a comparable upgrade. As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic has not issued an official announcement following Opus 5’s July debut, yet industry chatter points to a window around September 17–18 or the month’s end, consistent with the company’s recent cadence of 4–8 week Opus iterations. Competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s focus on agentic capabilities and safety refinements, keeps timelines fluid. Traders weigh these factors against historical patterns where feature-complete releases sometimes slip due to benchmark tuning or internal reviews, leaving the market evenly split across several dates with meaningful implied odds on a release before October.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,354Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects a tight cluster of late-September probabilities driven by unconfirmed rumors of an imminent launch, likely Opus 5.1 or a comparable upgrade. As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic has not issued an official announcement following Opus 5’s July debut, yet industry chatter points to a window around September 17–18 or the month’s end, consistent with the company’s recent cadence of 4–8 week Opus iterations. Competitive pressure from frontier large language models at OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s focus on agentic capabilities and safety refinements, keeps timelines fluid. Traders weigh these factors against historical patterns where feature-complete releases sometimes slip due to benchmark tuning or internal reviews, leaving the market evenly split across several dates with meaningful implied odds on a release before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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