State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, faces an undecided Republican opponent in the May 26 GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, driving trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 62%. Recent TPOR polls show Paxton leading Cornyn 48-40 among likely runoff voters, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base despite fundraising gaps, while head-to-head surveys indicate Talarico edging both Republicans amid strong Democratic fundraising ($27 million in Q1). Escalating attack ads and donor battles this week have intensified the runoff, with Wesley Hunt's third-place primary finish sidelining other pairings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEncuentro electoral del Senado de Texas
Encuentro electoral del Senado de Texas
Talarico y Paxton 62%
Talarico y Cornyn 38%
Crockett y Hunt <1%
Talarico y Hunt <1%
$721,447 Vol.
$721,447 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico y Paxton
62%
Talarico y Cornyn
38%
Crockett y Hunt
<1%
Talarico y Hunt
<1%
Crockett y Paxton
<1%
Crockett y Cornyn
<1%
Otro
<1%
Talarico y Paxton 62%
Talarico y Cornyn 38%
Crockett y Hunt <1%
Talarico y Hunt <1%
$721,447 Vol.
$721,447 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico y Paxton
$275,333 Vol.
62%
Talarico y Cornyn
$197,086 Vol.
38%
Crockett y Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico y Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett y Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett y Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, faces an undecided Republican opponent in the May 26 GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, driving trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 62%. Recent TPOR polls show Paxton leading Cornyn 48-40 among likely runoff voters, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base despite fundraising gaps, while head-to-head surveys indicate Talarico edging both Republicans amid strong Democratic fundraising ($27 million in Q1). Escalating attack ads and donor battles this week have intensified the runoff, with Wesley Hunt's third-place primary finish sidelining other pairings.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volumen
$721,447Fecha de finalización
3 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, faces an undecided Republican opponent in the May 26 GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, driving trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 62%. Recent TPOR polls show Paxton leading Cornyn 48-40 among likely runoff voters, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base despite fundraising gaps, while head-to-head surveys indicate Talarico edging both Republicans amid strong Democratic fundraising ($27 million in Q1). Escalating attack ads and donor battles this week have intensified the runoff, with Wesley Hunt's third-place primary finish sidelining other pairings.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$721,447Fecha de finalización
3 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, faces an undecided Republican opponent in the May 26 GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, driving trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 62%. Recent TPOR polls show Paxton leading Cornyn 48-40 among likely runoff voters, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base despite fundraising gaps, while head-to-head surveys indicate Talarico edging both Republicans amid strong Democratic fundraising ($27 million in Q1). Escalating attack ads and donor battles this week have intensified the runoff, with Wesley Hunt's third-place primary finish sidelining other pairings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes