Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid widespread anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse, extending it through the February U.S.-Israeli strikes and related conflict until partial restoration in late May. Connectivity remains heavily restricted as of mid-September, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible, reflecting a shift toward tiered access and a domestic National Information Network rather than full global connectivity. Recent developments include a proposed cyberspace regulation bill to expand controls, internal government criticism of blanket shutdowns due to economic harm, and reports of advancing infrastructure for a more precise national "kill switch." Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on renewed protests, security escalations, or regime decisions balancing information control against domestic costs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$248,456 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
2%
31 de diciembre
28%
$248,456 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$6,570 Vol.
2%
31 de diciembre
$12,435 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid widespread anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse, extending it through the February U.S.-Israeli strikes and related conflict until partial restoration in late May. Connectivity remains heavily restricted as of mid-September, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible, reflecting a shift toward tiered access and a domestic National Information Network rather than full global connectivity. Recent developments include a proposed cyberspace regulation bill to expand controls, internal government criticism of blanket shutdowns due to economic harm, and reports of advancing infrastructure for a more precise national "kill switch." Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on renewed protests, security escalations, or regime decisions balancing information control against domestic costs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$248,456Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid widespread anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse, extending it through the February U.S.-Israeli strikes and related conflict until partial restoration in late May. Connectivity remains heavily restricted as of mid-September, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible, reflecting a shift toward tiered access and a domestic National Information Network rather than full global connectivity. Recent developments include a proposed cyberspace regulation bill to expand controls, internal government criticism of blanket shutdowns due to economic harm, and reports of advancing infrastructure for a more precise national "kill switch." Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on renewed protests, security escalations, or regime decisions balancing information control against domestic costs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$248,456Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid widespread anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse, extending it through the February U.S.-Israeli strikes and related conflict until partial restoration in late May. Connectivity remains heavily restricted as of mid-September, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible, reflecting a shift toward tiered access and a domestic National Information Network rather than full global connectivity. Recent developments include a proposed cyberspace regulation bill to expand controls, internal government criticism of blanket shutdowns due to economic harm, and reports of advancing infrastructure for a more precise national "kill switch." Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on renewed protests, security escalations, or regime decisions balancing information control against domestic costs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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