President Trump's position as chief executive remains stable in the eyes of traders, reflecting the lack of recent congressional moves, health disclosures, or institutional pressures that could force an early exit before 2027. Since taking office, the administration has pursued a series of executive orders on domestic priorities and foreign policy without triggering removal proceedings or resignation signals. Senate dynamics and party cohesion have shown no signs of fracturing around leadership questions. Historical patterns of incumbent continuity in the first half of a term further align with the current implied probability. Unanticipated developments such as legal rulings or sudden medical events could still alter the outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
Sí
$8,521,203 Vol.
$8,521,203 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$8,521,203 Vol.
$8,521,203 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's position as chief executive remains stable in the eyes of traders, reflecting the lack of recent congressional moves, health disclosures, or institutional pressures that could force an early exit before 2027. Since taking office, the administration has pursued a series of executive orders on domestic priorities and foreign policy without triggering removal proceedings or resignation signals. Senate dynamics and party cohesion have shown no signs of fracturing around leadership questions. Historical patterns of incumbent continuity in the first half of a term further align with the current implied probability. Unanticipated developments such as legal rulings or sudden medical events could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$8,521,203Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's position as chief executive remains stable in the eyes of traders, reflecting the lack of recent congressional moves, health disclosures, or institutional pressures that could force an early exit before 2027. Since taking office, the administration has pursued a series of executive orders on domestic priorities and foreign policy without triggering removal proceedings or resignation signals. Senate dynamics and party cohesion have shown no signs of fracturing around leadership questions. Historical patterns of incumbent continuity in the first half of a term further align with the current implied probability. Unanticipated developments such as legal rulings or sudden medical events could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$8,521,203Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's position as chief executive remains stable in the eyes of traders, reflecting the lack of recent congressional moves, health disclosures, or institutional pressures that could force an early exit before 2027. Since taking office, the administration has pursued a series of executive orders on domestic priorities and foreign policy without triggering removal proceedings or resignation signals. Senate dynamics and party cohesion have shown no signs of fracturing around leadership questions. Historical patterns of incumbent continuity in the first half of a term further align with the current implied probability. Unanticipated developments such as legal rulings or sudden medical events could still alter the outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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