US banks maintain solid capital buffers and stable asset quality heading into mid-June 2026, with the two 2026 failures limited to small institutions closed in January and May. Recent earnings reports show healthy net interest income growth, CET1 ratios above 10 percent at major lenders, and contained credit losses, reflecting resilient balance sheets amid a policy rate held at 3.50-3.75 percent. No supervisory alerts or material deposit outflows have surfaced in the past month, and the brief window to June 30 limits the scope for new stress to materialize. Traders price the low implied probability of failure accordingly, viewing the outcome as driven by idiosyncratic rather than systemic pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.US banks maintain solid capital buffers and stable asset quality heading into mid-June 2026, with the two 2026 failures limited to small institutions closed in January and May. Recent earnings reports show healthy net interest income growth, CET1 ratios above 10 percent at major lenders, and contained credit losses, reflecting resilient balance sheets amid a policy rate held at 3.50-3.75 percent. No supervisory alerts or material deposit outflows have surfaced in the past month, and the brief window to June 30 limits the scope for new stress to materialize. Traders price the low implied probability of failure accordingly, viewing the outcome as driven by idiosyncratic rather than systemic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$7,293Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.US banks maintain solid capital buffers and stable asset quality heading into mid-June 2026, with the two 2026 failures limited to small institutions closed in January and May. Recent earnings reports show healthy net interest income growth, CET1 ratios above 10 percent at major lenders, and contained credit losses, reflecting resilient balance sheets amid a policy rate held at 3.50-3.75 percent. No supervisory alerts or material deposit outflows have surfaced in the past month, and the brief window to June 30 limits the scope for new stress to materialize. Traders price the low implied probability of failure accordingly, viewing the outcome as driven by idiosyncratic rather than systemic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Volumen
$7,293Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US banks maintain solid capital buffers and stable asset quality heading into mid-June 2026, with the two 2026 failures limited to small institutions closed in January and May. Recent earnings reports show healthy net interest income growth, CET1 ratios above 10 percent at major lenders, and contained credit losses, reflecting resilient balance sheets amid a policy rate held at 3.50-3.75 percent. No supervisory alerts or material deposit outflows have surfaced in the past month, and the brief window to June 30 limits the scope for new stress to materialize. Traders price the low implied probability of failure accordingly, viewing the outcome as driven by idiosyncratic rather than systemic pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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